Barack Obama

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Computron
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Barack Obama

Post by Computron »

Just a quick question to our american friends but I was wondering should Obama be the Democrat candidate what is the likelyhood of him winning.

I don't mean this in a racist way but a few collegues and I were having a chat in work about the US elections and we wondered whether the Republicans would prefer Obama to be running against them due to the race card as I'm certain there are lots of middle ground Democrats who wouldn't want a black president and thus would be happy to have another 4 years of Republican rule to stop it happening. Similaly the Republicans who I'm assuming tend to be more racist would be encouraged to come out in force to stop a black president. Also add to that the fact he used to be a muslim and I'm certain you'll probably see a strong Republican turnout

I gather lots of ethnic minorities would be encouraged to vote Democrat because of him but I'm guessing the democrats would be expecting a strong turnout anyway regardless due to the general desire (it appear) to get rid of the Republicans.

Anyhows I've just cut short the general discussion we had and wondered if anyone else had wondered whether the Republicans would feel this way regarding the two Democratic candidates
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Post by Civ »

Wait, I thought the whole "Barack is a Muslim" thing was a bunch of bull. Not that it should matter. His father was raised as Muslim but as an adult, he is now more atheistic at least according Barack's wikipedia article.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_obama
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Post by Sir Auros »

He's not really an atheist, either. Not that it matters, because the mudslingers will attack on that angle, on the blatantly false Muslim angle, and the Republican party has proven within this century that they're still not above rousing the rabble to "keep the negroes down."
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Post by Civ »

Sad. Isn't it?
Computron wrote:I'm certain there are lots of middle ground Democrats who wouldn't want a black president and thus would be happy to have another 4 years of Republican rule to stop it happening. Similaly the Republicans who I'm assuming tend to be more racist would be encouraged to come out in force to stop a black president.
Yeah, that's what I'm noticing around my area. It's ****ing disgusting how a lot of Democrats and other people won't vote for Barack Obama simply because he's not white. Nevermind we could have four more years of Bush-like policies, don't let the negro git in!! I think Jon Stewart portrays this pretty well...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wk25Am6Jo0s

And this guy too...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-q4MDQ0 ... re=related

If McCain wins, I think I may take up drinking from the bottle of a Jack Daniels.
I gather lots of ethnic minorities would be encouraged to vote Democrat
If they aren't bullied into not voting to begin with like down in...I think it's Florida.
I'm guessing the democrats would be expecting a strong turnout anyway regardless due to the general desire (it appear) to get rid of the Republicans.
Don't know and can't say for sure. The power of spin media, racism, and religious bigotry is not to be underestimated.
Anyhows I've just cut short the general discussion we had and wondered if anyone else had wondered whether the Republicans would feel this way regarding the two Democratic candidates
I don't think it would really matter which candidate is the Democratic nomination. Faux Noise and the rest of the conservative political machine would spin it against them no matter what.
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Post by Civ »

Sorry for the double post, but this is both a tangent and wonderfully fantastic...too bad it didn't happen sooner.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24863127?GT1=43001

For you 56k'ers out there.
A Bush loyalist turns harsh critic in memoir
Former press secretary says president used propaganda to govern

WASHINGTON - In a White House full of Bush loyalists, none was more loyal than Scott McClellan, the bland press secretary who spread the company line for all the government to follow each day. His word, it turns out, was worthless, his confessional memoir a glimpse into Washington's world of spin and even outright deception.

Instead of effective government, Americans were subjected to a "permanent campaign" that was "all about manipulating sources of public opinion to the president's advantage," McClellan writes in a book stunning for its harsh criticism of Bush. "Presidential initiatives from health care programs to foreign invasions are regularly devised, named, timed and launched with one eye (or both eyes) on the electoral calendar."

The spokesman's book is called "What Happened: Inside the Bush White House and Washington's Culture of Deception."

The book, which had been scheduled for release on Monday, was being sold by bookstores on Wednesday after the publisher moved up its release. McClellan planned promotional appearances on news talk shows on Thursday.

Governing via endless campaigning is not a new phenomenon, but it accelerated markedly during the tumultuous Clinton White House and then the war-shaken years of the Bush administration. Bush strategist Karl Rove had a strong hand in both politics and governing as overseer of key offices, including not only openly political affairs and long-range strategic planning but as liaison for intergovernmental affairs, focusing on state and local officials.

Bush's presidency "wandered and remained so far off course by excessively embracing the permanent campaign and its tactics," McClellan writes. He says Bush relied on an aggressive "political propaganda campaign" instead of the truth to sell the Iraq war.

That's about right, says Brookings Institution political analyst Thomas Mann, co-author of a book entitled "The Permanent Campaign."

"It was such a hyped-up effort to frame the problem and the choices in a way that really didn't do justice to the complexity of the arguments, the intelligence," Mann said in an interview. Though all presidents try to "control the message," he said, "it was really a way of preventing that discussion. It just had enormously harmful consequences. I think they carried it to a level not heretofore seen."

Each day, underscoring the daily blend of politics and government, Bush and his administration make an extraordinary effort to control information and make sure the White House message is spread across the government and beyond. The line for officials to follow is set at early-morning senior staff meetings at the White House, then transmitted in e-mails, conference calls, faxes and meetings. The loop extends to Capitol Hill where lawmakers get the administration talking points. So do friendly interest groups and others.

The aim is to get them all to say the same thing, unwavering from the administration line. Other administrations have tried to do the same thing, but none has been as disciplined as the Bush White House.

McClellan recounts how Bush, as governor of Texas, spelled out his approach about the press at their very first meeting in 1998. He said Bush "mentioned some of his expectations for his spokespeople — the importance of staying on message; the need to talk about what you're for, rather than what you are against; how he liked to make the big news on his own time frame and terms without his spokespeople getting out in front of him, and, finally, making sure that public statements were coordinated internally so that everyone is always on the same page and there are few surprises."

In September 2002, Bush's chief economic adviser, Larry Lindsey, ran afoul of the president's rules by saying the cost of a possible war with Iraq could be somewhere between $100 billion and $200 billion. Bush was irritated and made sure that Lindsey was told his comments were unacceptable. "Lindsey had violated the first rule of the disciplined, on-message Bush White House: don't make news unless you're authorized to do so," McClellan wrote.

Within four months, Lindsey was gone, resigning as part of a reshaping of Bush's economic team.

While message control has been part of many administrations, Mann said that, "They were just tougher and more disciplined about it than anyone else had been."

'Political propaganda campaign'
As spokesman, McClellan ardently defended Bush's decision to invade Iraq and the conduct of his presidency over the course of nearly 300 briefings in two years and 10 months. Now, two years after leaving the White House and eager to make money on his book, McClellan concludes Bush turned away from candor and honesty and misled the country about the reasons for going to war.

It wasn't about Saddam Hussein's supposed weapons of mass destruction, McClellan writes. It was Bush's fervor to transform the Middle East through the spread of democracy. "The Iraq war was not necessary," writes McClellan, who never hinted at any doubts or questioned his talking points when he was press secretary.

McClellan writes that Bush and his team sold the Iraq war by means of a "political propaganda campaign" in which contradictory evidence was ignored or discarded, caveats or qualifications to arguments were downplayed or dropped and "a dubious al-Qaida connection to Iraq was played up.

"We were more focused on creating a sense of gravity and urgency about the threat from Saddam Hussein than governing on the basis of the truths of the situation," McClellan wrote.

McClellan is not the first presidential spokesman to write a tell-all book, but his is certainly the harshest, at least in recent memory. He says his words as press secretary were sincere but he has come to realize that "some of them were badly misguided. ... I've tried to come to grips with some of the truths that life inside the White House bubble obscured."

White House colleagues were stunned, but not lacking for the day's response. "We are puzzled. It is sad. This is not the Scott we knew," said Dana Perino, the current press secretary who was first hired by McClellan as a deputy.

Later in the day, she relayed the reaction of Bush himself: "He's puzzled, he doesn't recognize this as the Scott McClellan that he hired and confided in and worked with for so many years."
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Post by Rurudyne »

Computron, I will not pretend to speak for Democrats since I'm not one (I'm not even really a Republican).

But I do have a few observations about Senator Obama and why I imagine that it isn't racism that is likely to drive Senator Clinton's supporters away from him.

Racism, if his own imputed racism or someone else's, is a red herring in this election. Sadly, it is a literal red herring—as in "red".

Yes, his chosen congregation has some rather quaint views on race; however, to me those are neither here nor there. Liberation theology, the kind of theology or approach to Christianity that he has preferred and which would be far more likely to be a point of agreement that he had with his minister than anything racist said minister may have EVER said. In case you are unfamiliar with it, "liberation theology" is communism blended with theology in favor of the communism. Its roots extend back into Latin America where it was seen as a way to reform the former under the banner of the Catholic Church (for which it has been an internal problem for the CC in those areas ever since).

"Black liberation theology" that Senator Obama favors is more of a Protestant flair ... except that what they protest against isn't failings to adhere to the writ of Scriptures but social failings in culture (possibly to the point of even being a different "gospel"—or a heresy). It is socialistic in a bad, bad way and bears strong philosophical resemblance to the words of Saul Alinsky (as an example) who wrote in Reveille for Radicals:
A People's Organization (later changed to "community organization") is dedicated to an eternal war. It is a war against poverty, misery, delinquency, disease, injustice, hopelessness, despair, and unhappiness.
But what nature that war?
A People's Organization is not a philanthropic plaything or a social service's ameliorative gesture. It is a deep, hard-driving force, striking and cutting at the very roots of all the evils which beset the people...it thinks and acts in terms of social surgery and not cosmetic cover-ups.
Please realize that the "philanthropic plaything" is charity—like when someone gives to the Red Cross or Habitat for Humanity—while "social service's ameliorative gesture" would be the whole of the so-called War Against Poverty in the United States (at least beginning with the Great Society).

Senator Obama is simply scary to many people for reasons completely separate from the race issue; but, it will be presented as a race issue even when it is not (or especially when it is not) because doing so is constructive to the Senator's ambitions.

Personally, being what many people would consider a "paleoconservative" (or a Classic American Liberal), I find Senator Obama far scarier than Senator Clinton (whom I consider to be just about as lawless as almost any other Constitution disparager to come down the pike) and—here's the remarkable thing—many Democrats would seem to agree with me on just that much (not that they would agree with me on much of anything else—especially the Constitution disparagement part).



(PS: just to be clear, I do believe I can back up at length and in considerable detail the idea that progressives and the actual Constitution as amended can't get along—the latter simply being too limiting on the former; but, this is not my thread for such a debate. If anyone wants, I'll provide links so that they may examine my logics and attempt to refute them if they are of a mind to do so.)


PPS: As for Senator McCain ... well, years ago I postulated that with so many Democrats crossing over in the primaries to "vote" for him against President Bush, that the dead in Chicago would be voting for the Senator too. Ummm ... I really don't much favor Senator McCain ... AT ALL. Really, my favorite Republican this time around was Alan Keyes (but what's changed?).
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Post by Civ »

Out of curiousity, can I see those links? Not to refute anything but more for personal indulgence...I think that's the word I'm looking for.
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Post by Jetfire »

Civ wrote: Nevermind we could have four more years of Bush-like policies, don't let the negro git in!! I think Jon Stewart portrays this pretty well...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wk25Am6Jo0s

That is quite scary. The total adversion to a black president. You can almost see the people flinch at the thought and the shear ignorance. I don't think you would find that ignorance on mass in the UK. Sadly our racists try to be far more 'well reasoned'. You have to wonder why those people are democrate in the first place?
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Post by Jaynz »

(reads thread)

Because the only reason that ANYONE would vote against Obama is that they're a racist?

God, four years of this... no one can DARE question anything Obama does because he's black - at least according to quite a few 'liberals' out there. That alone, to me, should disqualify the man.

I never, ever, ever, want a President that is somehow magically above criticism.
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Post by Denyer »

TFVanguard wrote:
(reads thread)

Because the only reason that ANYONE would vote against Obama is that they're a racist?
How did you get that out the posts above?
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Post by Jaynz »

Denyer wrote:How did you get that out the posts above?
Civ and Jetfire's posts, explicitly.
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Post by Denyer »

TFVanguard wrote:Civ and Jetfire's posts, explicitly.
Let's see...
Civ wrote:It's ****ing disgusting how a lot of Democrats and other people won't vote for Barack Obama simply because he's not white.
Not suggesting the only reason that anyone would vote against Obama is that they're a racist.

Saying that some people won't vote for a black candidate.
Dan wrote:That [video] is quite scary. The total adversion to a black president.
Not suggesting the only reason that anyone would vote against Obama is that they're a racist.

Saying that some people won't vote for a black candidate.

Are you contesting the point that some people won't vote for a black candidate?

And from this you get to:
TFVanguard wrote:no one can DARE question anything Obama does because he's black
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Post by Jetfire »

TFVanguard wrote:(reads thread)

Because the only reason that ANYONE would vote against Obama is that they're a racist?
I never said anything like that. I was however, referencing the particular people in the video, some of whom were who were quite clear they couldn't vote for him as due to his race despite being lifelong democrates.
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Post by electro girl »

ive heared that a few right wing political comentators in the US make a point of always refering to Obamas middle name of Hussain, is this true? cos if it is i think its pretty obvious why
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Post by Jaynz »

electro girl wrote:ive heared that a few right wing political comentators in the US make a point of always refering to Obamas middle name of Hussain, is this true? cos if it is i think its pretty obvious why
There are a few, but not many. (In point of fact, all three of Obama's given names are Muslim, if you're wanting to point that out.) Obama's muslim connections, whether or not he is on, particuarly to radical groups such as CAIR and Nation of Islam, though, are fair game to discuss.
Are you contesting the point that some people won't vote for a black candidate?
Not at all. Just as I couldn't contest that much of Obama's support is for no other reason than he is black. It's just as wrong, unfortuante, and racist. In this case, in all honesty, I think racism works in Obama's favor at this point, since much of his support comes from lock-step African American voting. Unfortunately for him, however, this is also a very large group that has, historically, not voted when the time comes.

As for the point, the next step of the mantra, which has been repeated ad nasuem in many liberal outlets is that Obama could only not win based on 'racism'. It's actually why there is so much attention paid to the 'racist' vote... it's a pre-prepartion in case Obama is defeated.
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Post by Blaster »

TFVanguard wrote: Obama's muslim connections, whether or not he is on, particuarly to radical groups such as CAIR and Nation of Islam, though, are fair game to discuss.
Source or it didn't happen.
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Post by electro girl »

my source was the guardian
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Post by Civ »

Jetfire wrote:I never said anything like that. I was however, referencing the particular people in the video, some of whom were who were quite clear they couldn't vote for him as due to his race despite being lifelong democrates.
What Jets said...but with better spelling. :p I'm sure there are other reasons people won't vote for Obama other than race, but I was expressing my disgust for that being the only reason with the people in the video.
Blaster wrote:Source or it didn't happen.
Seconded.
electro girl wrote:my source was the guardian
Link, please.
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Post by Jaynz »

I'm not sure why I'm going to bother, since I know that you'll neither read it or accept any of this, no matter how well documented they are. But, aside from his own book, here's some links...

Obama's Nation of Islam Connections

http://www.debbieschlussel.com/archives ... ion_o.html

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co ... 02083.html

http://abcnews.go.com/Nightline/story?id=2937953

http://righttruth.typepad.com/right_tru ... ion-o.html

Obama and CAIR

http://www.barackobama.com/factcheck/20 ... slim_1.php

http://forums.hannity.com/showthread.php?t=640351

http://www.hillaryclintonforum.net/disc ... hp?p=58389

This is to say nothing of his ongoing friendship with Ayers, a convicted and unrepetant domestic terrorist, and so on...
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Post by Denyer »

TFVanguard wrote: which has been repeated ad nasuem in many liberal outlets is that Obama could only not win based on 'racism'.
:citation:

Y'know, based on the claims people have said things in this thread that they haven't. It doesn't engender much optimism for your reading of other sources.
TFVanguard wrote:much of Obama's support is for no other reason than he is black.
I'd give you "for no other reason than he isn't Bush" -- but in any case would be interested what predominance you place on "much" since you stopped short of claiming "most". That's a remaining scale of %1-49.
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